🏆 夺冠概率 Top 15
📊 各轮晋级概率
| 球队 | 小组出线 | 32强 | 16强 | 8强 | 4强 | 决赛 | 夺冠 |
|---|
| 🇧🇪比利时 | 96.9% | 96.9% | 63.7% | 35.2% | 18.8% | 9.7% | 6.1% |
| 🇫🇷法国 | 98.5% | 98.5% | 57.0% | 32.3% | 18.4% | 11.5% | 5.5% |
| 🇧🇷巴西 | 96.5% | 96.5% | 60.7% | 32.9% | 18.3% | 9.3% | 5.2% |
| 🇨🇴哥伦比亚 | 98.6% | 98.6% | 51.8% | 25.5% | 14.3% | 8.9% | 5.2% |
| 🇺🇸美国 | 91.9% | 91.9% | 55.8% | 31.6% | 17.7% | 9.2% | 5.0% |
| 🇦🇷阿根廷 | 99.2% | 99.2% | 56.2% | 29.1% | 16.8% | 10.2% | 4.9% |
| 🇨🇭瑞士 | 93.8% | 93.8% | 60.1% | 31.1% | 16.1% | 8.2% | 4.7% |
| 🏴英格兰 | 96.2% | 96.2% | 53.2% | 25.9% | 14.0% | 8.2% | 4.5% |
| 🇩🇪德国 | 97.8% | 97.8% | 63.7% | 36.2% | 20.6% | 9.2% | 4.4% |
| 🇵🇹葡萄牙 | 97.6% | 97.6% | 46.6% | 24.6% | 12.5% | 7.8% | 4.4% |
| 🇪🇸西班牙 | 97.6% | 97.6% | 58.5% | 33.4% | 17.3% | 7.8% | 4.3% |
| 🇲🇽墨西哥 | 93.1% | 93.1% | 58.7% | 30.1% | 15.2% | 7.9% | 3.9% |
| 🇳🇱荷兰 | 89.6% | 89.6% | 51.9% | 26.4% | 12.4% | 6.9% | 3.9% |
| 🇺🇾乌拉圭 | 95.7% | 95.7% | 55.7% | 31.5% | 16.4% | 8.0% | 3.9% |
| 🇲🇦摩洛哥 | 88.6% | 88.6% | 49.3% | 25.5% | 14.3% | 6.4% | 3.3% |
| 🇯🇵日本 | 79.3% | 79.3% | 42.9% | 22.5% | 12.9% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
基于 1000 次蒙特卡洛模拟 · 更新于 2026/8/12 18:10:19