🏆 夺冠概率 Top 15
📊 各轮晋级概率
| 球队 | 小组出线 | 32强 | 16强 | 8强 | 4强 | 决赛 | 夺冠 |
|---|
| 🇧🇷巴西 | 97.4% | 97.4% | 63.8% | 34.1% | 19.3% | 10.7% | 5.9% |
| 🇫🇷法国 | 98.5% | 98.5% | 55.0% | 28.6% | 17.3% | 10.3% | 5.8% |
| 🇩🇪德国 | 98.6% | 98.6% | 64.0% | 35.4% | 20.3% | 9.3% | 5.1% |
| 🇦🇷阿根廷 | 99.2% | 99.2% | 57.0% | 31.2% | 17.0% | 9.7% | 5.1% |
| 🇨🇭瑞士 | 94.3% | 94.3% | 62.8% | 36.0% | 17.0% | 9.0% | 4.9% |
| 🇧🇪比利时 | 96.6% | 96.6% | 60.5% | 32.6% | 17.6% | 9.5% | 4.7% |
| 🇲🇽墨西哥 | 91.9% | 91.9% | 59.0% | 28.8% | 16.7% | 8.0% | 4.5% |
| 🏴英格兰 | 96.4% | 96.4% | 54.5% | 29.8% | 16.1% | 8.5% | 4.5% |
| 🇺🇸美国 | 92.7% | 92.7% | 57.3% | 32.4% | 16.5% | 8.2% | 4.3% |
| 🇵🇹葡萄牙 | 97.5% | 97.5% | 50.4% | 25.9% | 13.2% | 7.5% | 4.3% |
| 🇳🇱荷兰 | 89.5% | 89.5% | 51.3% | 27.8% | 14.5% | 7.3% | 4.1% |
| 🇪🇸西班牙 | 97.2% | 97.2% | 56.2% | 30.4% | 15.6% | 7.3% | 4.1% |
| 🇨🇴哥伦比亚 | 98.0% | 98.0% | 53.0% | 26.5% | 13.9% | 8.2% | 4.0% |
| 🇺🇾乌拉圭 | 94.6% | 94.6% | 55.3% | 28.9% | 14.1% | 7.4% | 3.3% |
| 🇲🇦摩洛哥 | 88.4% | 88.4% | 50.8% | 27.5% | 15.2% | 7.3% | 3.1% |
| 🇪🇨厄瓜多尔 | 84.1% | 84.1% | 40.2% | 21.8% | 11.7% | 5.8% | 2.8% |
基于 1000 次蒙特卡洛模拟 · 更新于 2026/9/10 06:05:47